No. 59

Latest close: Fri, Nov 6

DiurnaFinance

The daily record of markets & money

Morning BriefNo. 59

Stocks tumble, S&P 500 drops 4.4%; Wall Street's fear gauge jumps to 28.2

In Thursday's session, the Nasdaq Composite lost 5.5%, the Dow fell 3.4%, the 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.84%, and gold settled at $4,113.50 an ounce.

Stocks

The broad S&P 500 tumbled 4.36% to 7,353.73, its lowest close since July 2026 and its biggest one-day drop since April 4, 2025. The Nasdaq Composite plummeted 5.52%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 3.44% to 51,523.06. Smaller companies lagged: the Russell 2000 plunged 4.45%.

The S&P 500 has gained 7.4% so far in 2026 and stands 5.9% below its record close of 7,818.93, set on October 6, 2026. The Cboe Volatility Index, which tracks expected swings in the S&P 500 over the next 30 days, rocketed to 28.18, above its long-run average of about 19.4.

Rates

The 10-year Treasury yield eased 6 basis points to 4.84%. The 2-year yield slid 12 basis points to 4.46%. At the long end, the 30-year yield eased to 5.25%.

That left the 10-year yield 38 basis points above the 2-year, a steeper curve than a day earlier. The effective federal funds rate — the Fed's main policy rate — stood at 3.88% as of November 4. In the inflation-protected market, the 10-year real yield was 2.64% and the 10-year breakeven rate — a market-implied gauge of expected inflation — was 2.24%, as of Wednesday.

U.S. Treasury yield curveYield by maturity
November 5, 2026One month earlier (Oct 6)One year earlier (Nov 5)

Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

Currencies

The euro retreated 0.38% to $1.1224 in the European Central Bank's daily reference rates, while the dollar crept higher 0.13% against the yen to ¥158.46 and the British pound declined to $1.3459. Overall, the dollar strengthened against six of the nine major currencies we track.

Commodities and bitcoin

U.S. crude oil (WTI) jumped 2.7% to $90.52 a barrel, while Brent, the international benchmark, jumped 3.9% to $98.29 a barrel.

U.S. natural gas futures dipped 0.4% to $2.947 per million British thermal units. Gold rose 1.0% to $4,113.50 an ounce, and silver inched higher 0.2% to $52.38 an ounce. Copper, often watched as a barometer of industrial demand, dropped 2.5% to $6.270 a pound.

Bitcoin tumbled 5.3% to $76,153.

On the calendar

The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the monthly jobs report at 8:30 a.m. ET.

Coming up

  • Tue Nov 108:30 a.m.Consumer Price Index (CPI)Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • Fri Nov 138:30 a.m.Producer Price Index (PPI)Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • Wed Nov 258:30 a.m.GDP (second estimate)Bureau of Economic Analysis

Chart of the day

U.S. home prices (Case-Shiller, year over year)2.1% · August 2026

Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices.

U.S. home prices rose to 2.1% in August from 1.9% in the prior month. That is up from 1.5% a year earlier. Over the past 10 years it has ranged from -0.3% (May 2023) to 20.8% (March 2022).

What it measures. The 12-month change in the S&P Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, which tracks repeat sales of the same single-family homes.

Why it matters. Home values are the largest source of wealth for many American households, and they feed directly into affordability for first-time buyers.

The numbers

InstrumentLastChg%YTD52-wk range
Stocks
S&P 500 7,353.73 −334.89 −4.36% +7.4%
Nasdaq Composite 24,315.00 −1,421.51 −5.52% +4.6%
Dow Jones Industrial Average 51,523.06 −1,833.06 −3.44% +7.2%
Russell 2000 2,729.89 −127.06 −4.45% +10.0%
Cboe Volatility Index 28.18 +11.57 +69.66% +88.5%
Treasury yields
3-month Treasury bill 4.17% −4 bp — +50 bp
2-year Treasury 4.46% −12 bp — +99 bp
5-year Treasury 4.59% −10 bp — +86 bp
10-year Treasury 4.84% −6 bp — +66 bp
30-year Treasury 5.25% −3 bp — +41 bp
Currencies
Euro (EUR/USD) $1.1224 −0.0043 −0.38% −4.5%
Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ¥158.46 +0.21 +0.13% +1.1%
British pound (GBP/USD) $1.3459 −0.0041 −0.30% −0.0%
Chinese yuan (USD/CNY) 6.6684 −0.0039 −0.06% −4.8%
Canadian dollar (USD/CAD) 1.3966 +0.0031 +0.22% +2.0%
Swiss franc (USD/CHF) 0.8179 +0.0024 +0.30% +3.2%
Australian dollar (AUD/USD) $0.7000 −0.0015 −0.21% +4.7%
Mexican peso (USD/MXN) 18.5905 −0.0560 −0.30% +3.4%
Commodities
WTI crude oil $90.52 +2.40 +2.72% +57.6%
Brent crude oil $98.29 +3.67 +3.88% +61.5%
Natural gas $2.947 −0.012 −0.41% −20.0%
Gold $4,113.50 +40.50 +0.99% −5.2%
Silver $52.38 +0.09 +0.18% −25.5%
Copper $6.270 −0.159 −2.47% +11.0%
Digital assets
Bitcoin $76,153 −4,268 −5.31% −13.2%

Closing levels for November 5, 2026. Yields in percent; changes in basis points (bp). Currencies are ECB reference rates. Commodities are front-month futures settlements.

Worth reading

Selected coverage from other publishers, chosen for relevance to today's markets.

  1. U.S. economy added 165,000 jobs in October, way more than expected; unemployment rate slips to 4.1%CNBC
  2. Europe stocks drop; STOXX 600 overtakes S&P 500 in YTD gainsInvesting.com
  3. The AI ‘credit card’ is getting costlier as CoreWeave bond yield tops 16%CNBC
  4. Stable Labor Market Keeps Fed on Track to Raise Rates GraduallyThe New York Times
  5. DraftKings’ expensive bet on prediction markets is crushing its stockMarketWatch
  6. Nasdaq rebounds as chip stocks recover from steep lossesInvesting.com

Diurna briefs are compiled from official and exchange data by our publishing system using fixed editorial rules; they describe market moves and do not speculate about causes. This is not investment advice. How we produce the Daily Brief.