No. 59

Latest close: Fri, Nov 6

DiurnaFinance

The daily record of markets & money

Morning BriefNo. 53

S&P 500 falls 1.8%; gold slides 3.3%

In Friday's session, the Nasdaq Composite lost 2.9%, the Dow fell 1.1%, the 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.94%, and WTI crude rose to $104.12 a barrel.

Stocks

The S&P 500 sank 1.82% to 7,580.07, its biggest one-day drop since June 5, 2026. The Nasdaq Composite tumbled 2.86%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 1.09% to 51,770.31. Smaller companies fared better: the Russell 2000 slumped 1.66%.

The S&P 500 has gained 10.7% so far in 2026 and stands 3.1% below its record close of 7,818.93, set on October 6, 2026. It also crossed below its 50-day moving average, now at 7,697.08. The Cboe Volatility Index, which tracks expected swings in the S&P 500 over the next 30 days, surged to 19.42, close to its long-run average of about 19.4.

Rates

The 10-year Treasury yield fell 4 basis points to 4.94%. The 2-year yield, which tracks expectations for the Fed's policy path more closely, fell 5 basis points to 4.56%.

That left the 10-year yield 38 basis points above the 2-year. Freddie Mac's latest weekly survey put the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate at 7.24% (October 29). The 3-month Treasury bill yielded 4.16%.

U.S. Treasury yield curveYield by maturity
October 30, 2026One month earlier (Sep 30)One year earlier (Oct 30)

Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

Currencies

The euro climbed 0.38% to $1.1172 in the European Central Bank's daily reference rates, while the dollar fell 0.51% against the yen to ¥157.25 and the British pound rallied to $1.3399. Overall, the dollar weakened against seven of the nine major currencies we track. The biggest move came from the Mexican peso, which fell 0.85% against the dollar.

Commodities and bitcoin

U.S. crude oil (WTI) rallied 2.1% to $104.12 a barrel, while Brent, the international benchmark, rallied 2.4% to $113.43 a barrel.

U.S. natural gas futures sank 1.8% to $2.898 per million British thermal units. Gold sank 3.3% to $3,898.90 an ounce, and silver slumped 5.9% to $49.28 an ounce. Copper, often watched as a barometer of industrial demand, dropped 1.8% to $6.482 a pound.

Bitcoin retreated 1.0% to $77,191.

On the calendar

No major U.S. economic releases are scheduled today.

Coming up

  • Tue Nov 310 a.m.Job openings (JOLTS)Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • Fri Nov 68:30 a.m.Jobs report (Employment Situation)Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • Tue Nov 108:30 a.m.Consumer Price Index (CPI)Bureau of Labor Statistics

Chart of the day

30-year fixed mortgage rate7.24% · the week of October 29

Source: Freddie Mac.

30-year fixed mortgage rate moved down to 7.24% in the week of October 29 from 7.32% in the week before. That is up from 6.17% a year earlier. Over the past 10 years it has ranged from 2.65% (January 2021) to 7.79% (October 2023).

What it measures. The average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate home loan, from Freddie Mac's weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey.

Why it matters. Mortgage rates drive housing affordability and demand. They tend to track the 10-year Treasury yield plus a spread that reflects lenders' costs and risks.

The numbers

InstrumentLastChg%YTD52-wk range
Stocks
S&P 500 7,580.07 −140.32 −1.82% +10.7%
Nasdaq Composite 25,437.00 −747.72 −2.86% +9.4%
Dow Jones Industrial Average 51,770.31 −572.25 −1.09% +7.7%
Russell 2000 2,811.84 −47.38 −1.66% +13.3%
Cboe Volatility Index 19.42 +2.22 +12.91% +29.9%
Treasury yields
3-month Treasury bill 4.16% −2 bp — +49 bp
2-year Treasury 4.56% −5 bp — +109 bp
5-year Treasury 4.71% −7 bp — +98 bp
10-year Treasury 4.94% −4 bp — +76 bp
30-year Treasury 5.31% −1 bp — +47 bp
Currencies
Euro (EUR/USD) $1.1172 +0.0042 +0.38% −4.9%
Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ¥157.25 −0.81 −0.51% +0.4%
British pound (GBP/USD) $1.3399 +0.0082 +0.62% −0.5%
Chinese yuan (USD/CNY) 6.6529 −0.0087 −0.13% −5.0%
Canadian dollar (USD/CAD) 1.3969 −0.0027 −0.19% +2.0%
Swiss franc (USD/CHF) 0.8230 −0.0056 −0.68% +3.8%
Australian dollar (AUD/USD) $0.7024 −0.0001 −0.01% +5.1%
Mexican peso (USD/MXN) 18.9080 +0.1605 +0.86% +5.2%
Commodities
WTI crude oil $104.12 +2.12 +2.08% +81.3%
Brent crude oil $113.43 +2.63 +2.37% +93.3%
Natural gas $2.898 −0.054 −1.83% −21.4%
Gold $3,898.90 −132.50 −3.29% −10.2%
Silver $49.28 −3.10 −5.93% −30.0%
Copper $6.482 −0.120 −1.83% +14.7%
Digital assets
Bitcoin $77,191 −748 −0.96% −12.0%

Closing levels for October 30, 2026. Yields in percent; changes in basis points (bp). Currencies are ECB reference rates. Commodities are front-month futures settlements.

Worth reading

Selected coverage from other publishers, chosen for relevance to today's markets.

  1. Your stock portfolio increasingly hinges on the bond market — and the midterm electionsMarketWatch
  2. Britain’s housing crisis won’t be fixed without a new tax landscapeThe Guardian
  3. We’re in our 70s. Should we pay off our 2.5% mortgage — or put the money in a high-yield savings account?MarketWatch
  4. Budget 2026: how to beat the new savings tax ratesThe Guardian
  5. How Binance’s $6.3 Billion Hack Went DownThe New York Times
  6. GS flags interest rates and AI disruption as risks to long-term equity demandInvesting.com

Diurna briefs are compiled from official and exchange data by our publishing system using fixed editorial rules; they describe market moves and do not speculate about causes. This is not investment advice. How we produce the Daily Brief.